The Focus bulletin released on Monday 20 by the Central Bank (BC) pointed to differences in the projection of financial market analysts for the performance of the Brazilian economy in 2018 and 2019.
Thus, the forecast growth of the national gross domestic product (GDP) for 2018 remained in 1.49%. By 2019, the GDP prognosis remained at 2.50%.
However, the bet for the Selic interest in 2018 was 6.50% and for 2019 the price remained at 8.00%.
The inflation forecast for this year (IPCA) was 4.15%. Before 2019 the rate registered 4.10%.
The expectation for the growth of industrial production has decreased to 2.73% this year. The forecast for the following year was 3.00%.
The forecast for the exchange rate in 2018 was R $ 3.70. Before 2019 the rate was $ 3.70.
The bet for the balance of the trade balance in the current year was $ 56.90 billion. And in 2019 it was $ 49.55 billion.
For current transactions (all Brazilian activities abroad) the expected deficit was USD 19.90 billion. For next year, the forecast was a deficit of US $ 32 billion.
The project for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) of 2018 (characterized by the long-term interest of the investment in the economy) amounted to US $ 68.00 billion. And the expectation for 2019 was $ 72 billion.
(Writing – investments and news)