Riga, November 11, LETA. The number of Covid-19 cases discovered in Latvia over the seven-day period has increased by 30% compared to the previous seven days, said Jurijs Perevoščikovs, director of the Risk Analysis and Prevention of Infectious Diseases Division of the Center for Disease Prevention and control (SPKC), to reporters.
He explained that the 30% trend is observed for several days in a row, but with minor deviations. “This shows that the situation develops in the so-called medium scenario – moderate spread and moderate increase. The worst case scenario that was observed earlier was an increase of 60%, but according to the epidemiologist it only happened for a week.
In the epidemiologist’s view, the optimal option in the current situation would of course be if there was no increase, but currently “we are in the middle – between 60% and 0%”.
Meanwhile, the number of hospitalized patients has increased by 28%, which, according to the epidemiologist, keeps pace with the increase in morbidity. Perevoshchikov also explained that about 15% of the cases discovered this week require hospitalization the following week.
In an international context, Latvia is still one of the countries with the lowest morbidity. “There are not many such countries left on the map. Even Lithuania has reached and exceeded the European Union average,” said Perevoschikov, adding that Latvia is still below this indicator.
At the same time, there is a sufficiently stable but slow upward trend in the proportion of positive Covid-19 tests. Over a seven-day period, an average of 5% of the Covid-19 tests were positive, compared to 4.5% the week before. As a result, the proportion of positive Covid-19 tests has increased by 0.5% in recent weeks.
The SPCC has previously explained that this figure is considered important in the European Union as above 4% the spread of the disease is considered rapid and uncontrolled.
The epidemiologist also stressed that it would not be appropriate to assess the situation on a daily basis based on that day’s data, but to monitor it for a week or two to identify trends in prevalence.
It has already been reported that on Tuesday the largest number of new cases of Covid-19 was discovered in one day in Latvia – 453 cases, according to the data collected by the SPKC.
Two people confirmed to be infected with Covid-19 died the day before. The patients who died yesterday were in the age groups of 75 to 80 years and 65 to 70 years.
To date, 105 people have died in Latvia confirmed to be infected with Covid-19.
Yesterday, the largest record of Covid-19 tests was achieved in Latvia and a total of 7,621 people were tested. The share of positive tests reached 5.9% last day. The SPCC has previously explained that this figure is considered important in the European Union as more than 4% of the spread of the disease is considered rapid and uncontrolled.
A total of 8,848 people have been infected in Latvia so far, but 1,471 people have recovered from Covid-19.
Meanwhile, slightly more positive news has come in from hospitals that have discharged more Covid-19 patients than have been admitted. According to data from the National Health Service, 31 Covid-19 patients were hospitalized and 41 discharged on Tuesday.
A total of 299 Covid-19 patients are currently being treated in Latvian hospitals, of whom 282 have a moderate course of disease and 17 have a severe disease course. Health Minister Ilze Hänķele (AP) has noted that it would be of crucial importance to the Latvian hospital system if the number of Covid-19 patients in hospitals exceeded 500.
To date, 671 Covid-19 patients have been discharged from hospitals.