Lebanon is about “worse than the Italian model”!




Lebanon direction "Worse than the Italian model"!

Rajana Diet wrote in “Al-Akhbar”:

Can the state do what it could not do in nine months in two weeks after closure? Almost every question comes to my mind after deciding to close completely for two weeks, especially from the “people of the house” to the common people; They believe that what has not been achieved in the past nine months may not be possible to apply now, as people are dodging preventive measures and the insane rise in injuries and deaths, which recorded 1,922 injuries and 14 deaths yesterday. In terms of hospital admissions, it registered 826 cases yesterday, including 300 in intensive care units and 140 cases with ventilator.

From here there weren’t many optimists. Until the shutdown proves otherwise, they rely on an inventory of the meter’s daily numbers to crystallize the nature of the scenario that Lebanon accepts. The head of the Department of Neurosurgery at the American University, Ghassan Skaf, thought it was “tragic” in terms of “heading towards something more dangerous than the Italian scenario.” . Skaf based his forecasts on daily schedules of injuries, based on the cumulative total number that went through laboratory repairs and the number of deaths and injuries in the health sector, up to the numbers from positive local investigations and the number of injuries in hospitals. These indicators are not balanced, according to Skaf, as the number of injuries has reached 100,000, while the number of people recovered is stabilizing at 50,000. In addition, the rate at which the virus is spreading has reached the point where the percentage of positive studies among residents is more than 20 out of 100, “and this is a risk indicator, parallel to the risk that the number of deaths will spread by more than ten infections per day. ” While the high mortality rate is considered natural when compared to the number of injuries, hospitalizations, and those in intensive care, it doesn’t bode well with the number of people connected to ventilation equipment losing their lives, which is over 60%.

And because these indicators remain unchanged, Skaf goes so far as to predict that “the number of HIV infections by the end of this year will reach 200,000 and nearly 2,000 deaths.” In a simple calculation, this means that “the number of injuries amounts to three thousand injuries per day.” To avoid this scenario, Skaf emphasizes the need to “develop a contingency plan by opening Arab and international funding channels, conducting a comprehensive survey of the areas and offering free PCR studies to all citizens.” The current reality also requires “setting up quarantine centers, implementing the muzzles law, social distancing and preventing hookah smoking in public places.” Without this, nothing changes expectations. In this regard, the Prime Minister of the outgoing government, Hassan Diab, held an extensive meeting with those involved in the follow-up of the Corona file, discussing how to implement the closure decision, tighten up procedures and implement it. checked. And the meeting called for a bill to be introduced requiring increased punishment for those who are not determined to wear the muzzle, as it is a crime that should be recorded in the criminal record.

Apart from the discussions that are still on paper, it is noteworthy that the list of “exceptions” belongs to the closing week. A “long and broad” list, one setting of which has barely been implemented, making the decision to close a subject of criticism, and today’s research focuses on “what is our drunkenness”, especially as previous experiences have proven that previous closings were merely “prestige”. In this context, the head of the Parliamentary Health Committee, Dr. Assem Araji, expressed concern that the decision will be a reiteration of the above, noting that “in the previous closures of villages, people fled from the closed areas to other areas, and there was no serious follow-up to this issue. Araji does not know how the decision was worded and the exceptions to it, and he finds no better comment than Ms. Fairuz’s song, “Taa la taji.”




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