The idea of the fire wave is derived from prognoses showing that today there are 2.7 people in service to support each retiree, while there will only be 1.6 people doing the same job in 2016, according to the class struggle. It can go beyond prosperity.
In a recent article in the magazine Fagbladet Society & Economics, the counsel of the Saidre Farbis Union claims that this is a violent exaggeration. He assumes that the working age will increase in line with the expected increase in life expectancy. Then there will be fewer people working in the future compared to the rest of the population.
Professor Farstad even goes so far as to call the execution of the parent wave a bluff.
"It often creates a specter by showing that there will be many more elderly people in the future, but you can expect that a 65-year-old in 2060 is now more average than a 65-year-old, Farrich emphasizes.
He refers to a Eurostat study which shows that the proportion of expected healthy life years after the age of 65 has increased from 60 to 73 percent from 2005 to 2015 for Norwegian women and from 73 to 82 percent for men.