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Oceans heat 40% faster than predicted

January 12, 2019 by Steve Hanley

News Flash! The oceans heat 40% faster than predicted a few years ago. This finding is contained in a new study that was published in the journal on 11 January Science. We will now take you back to our usual programming, which is already under way. Go back to sleep, Mr. President. Nothing to see here. Come along.

ocean warming

For those who want to know more about this report, Zeke Hausfather, an energy system analyst at the independent climate research group Berkeley Earth and an author of the study, explains New York Times"2018 will be the hottest year ever recorded for Earth's oceans, 2017 was the hottest year and 2016 was the hottest year, Oceans are truly the best thermometer we have for earth changes."

So the oceans are getting a bit warmer. And then? That just means that the water will not be so damn cold when we go to the beach, right? We can just walk in instead of freezing ourselves cajones from. That's a good thing, is not it? In fact, the researchers say the oceans absorb 93% of the sun's heat. The latest studies suggest that their ability to absorb more heat quickly comes to an end.

When that happens, the atmosphere becomes warmer than it already is, making the effects of a hot planet even bigger. Faster melting of ice, more desertification, more powerful storms, more rainfall, and of course rising sea levels. The oceans of the world are at a turning point. See it as a pan with water heating on a stove. It looks like any other pot of water until it starts cooking. Then suddenly, in just a few seconds, it becomes a steaming, bubbling cauldron.

"If the ocean does not absorb so much heat, the surface of the country would heat up much faster than it is now," says Malin L. Pinsky, associate professor at the department of ecology, evolution and natural resources at Rutgers University. "In fact, the ocean is now saving us from tremendous warming."

How do you measure the temperature of the oceans?

Deniers of the climate will immediately attack the scientists who have prepared the latest studies. The oceans are huge. It is impossible to accurately record and record their temperature, so that the results are inherently suspect. Just a bunch of greedy people traveling around the world on vacation, hoping to suck some dollars from the government to support them, not have a real job, like decorating hamburgers or loading shelves like other people do.

Well, actually they have a point. Measuring the temperature of the oceans is really very difficult. It is as if you play three-dimensional chess because the temperatures vary depending on the depth and the surface. And each measurement is only as good as the tools used to perform the task.

Not so long ago, researchers dragged real thermometers behind ships and recorded their findings. Today, scientists use a fleet of floating electronic buoys that are part of the Argo network. These buoys rise and fall over a period of days and then float to the surface where they transfer the collected data to researchers via satellite.

Lijing Cheng from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics in Beijing is the lead author of the latest study. He says that the waters closest to the surface are the most warmed up and that global warming has accelerated in the last two decades. The latter data show that the temperature increase is 40% greater than according to IPCC would be the case in a report issued in 2014.

Effects of Warmer Oceans

We hear a lot about rising sea levels caused by melting glaciers and ice caps. Few people realize that much of the increase in oceans has so far been caused by one of the natural laws. Hot water takes up more space than cold water. This means that the greater part of the rise in water levels is due to the warmer oceans. The increase in melting ice comes later.

Warmer oceans have implications that extend beyond more powerful storms and the loss of coral reefs. Dr. Pinsky van Rutgers says: "As the ocean warms up, the fish is being driven to new places and we are already seeing this is causing conflict between countries – it goes much further than just fish, it has become trade wars, and it has turned into diplomatic disputes. It has in some cases led to the failure of international relations. "

Oh great. Another reason for people to break into warring clans instead of smuggling together to fight a common threat. Is there nothing in the human psyche that allows reason to ignore the fear of our own kind? You can probably find the answer to that question even if you are not a trained psychologist.

Careful optimism

Even in the light of these latest findings, Zeke Hausfather is cautiously optimistic, saying that efforts to combat global warming, including the 2015 climate agreement in Paris, will help. "I think there is a reason for trust that we will avoid the worst results, even if we are not on the right track for the results we want." As my old Irish grandmother would say, "Hope is not a plan."

Graph globalization

Hat tip for CT community member Agelbert

A rational strategy in the future would be to stop choosing politicians who propagate the lies about how climate science has all been designed to destroy the system of free enterprise. There will be no free enterprise system if all customers who have to buy things to make the money machine function are dead.

Tags: IPCC, ocean temperature, sea level rise

About the author

Steve Hanley Steve writes about the interface between technology and sustainability from his home in Rhode Island and elsewhere where the Singularity might bring him. His motto is "Democracy is socialism." Do you have a problem with that?

You can follow him on Google + and beyond twitter.

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