A poll for "Fakts" TVN and TVN24. A small difference between Trzaskowski and Jaki



Rafał Trzaskowski, PO and Nowoczesna candidate, would have achieved 37 percent of the votes. Patryk Jaki, candidate for PiS, Solidarna Polska and Porozumienie, would receive only 4 percentage points less – he was supported by 33 percent. respondents.

Another on the list – Andrzej Rozenek, SLD candidate, can count on 4 percent support, Janusz Korwin Mikke, at 3 percent. The same number of respondents would support Jan Śpiewak, the candidate Razem, Polish Initiative, Greens and the Free City Association of Warsaw, and the independent candidate Jacek Wojciechowicz. The following are Piotr Ikonowicz, candidate of the Social Justice Movement with 2% support, independent candidate Piotr Guział, voted by 1 percent of the respondents and PSL candidate Jakub Stefaniak (also 1 percent).

Photo: tvn24
The results of the Kantar Millward Brown survey for "Fakts" TVN and TVN24 – the first round of elections in Warsaw

The support at the level of 0 percent was obtained in the survey of Sławomir Antonik – the candidate of the association Stowarzyszenie Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy, and Justyna Glusman – the candidate of City Movements for Warsaw.

The answer "other candidate" was chosen by 1 percent of the respondents, while the option "do not know / hard to say / I have not yet decided" – 7 percent of the people who participated in the survey. 5 per cent did not want to answer who would vote for it.

In the study commissioned by "Fakts" TVN and TVN24, interviewers Kantar Millward Brown SA also asked for votes in the possible second round. If it were to happen, Rafał Trzaskowski would vote 56 percent of the respondents, and 37 percent of the respondents would vote for Patryk Jakiego. 7 percent of the respondents do not know how they would vote in the second round.

The poll also asked how respondents evaluate the current campaign, led by Rafał Trzaskowski and Patryk Jakiego. Patryk Jaki was better in this juxtaposition. "reasonably good" and "very good" the campaign of the candidate is assessed by 41 percent of the respondents, 36 percent – "rather bad" and "very bad". Trzaskowski's campaign "reasonably good" and "very good" is rated by 36 percent of the people who participated in the survey, "rather bad" and "very bad" – 40 percent.

Photo: tvn24
The results of the Kantar Millward Brown survey for "Fakts" TVN and TVN24 – the second round of elections in Warsaw

If the elections were held this Sunday, "surely" 73 percent of the survey participants would go to the polls. "On the contrary," 15 percent would vote. 6 percent of the respondents "definitely not" would go to the local elections next Sunday and the answer "would rather not" was chosen by 5 percent of the respondents.

The poll was conducted by telephone via Kantar Millward Brown on 17-20 August 2018 on a representative sample of residents of Warsaw aged 18 and older. The sample size was 1004.

The first round of municipal elections will take place on October 21st. The second – if necessary – on November 4th.

Source: TVN facts


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